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Revenue warning: What will happen to the CPA networks when mortgage interest rates rise?

July 27th, 2005 by Ola Edvardsson

Small little observation… but if you happen to run or work at an affiliate network it could have serious revenue effects for your company.

It’s about mortgage refinancing leads.

Interestingly enough… the rise of affiliate marketing and CPA brokers happened at the same time that long-term interest rates went down to levels not seen since the 1960’s.

If you have a look at the affiliate networks you will find that their most profitable offers tend to be about refinancing your mortgage.

Do you believe mortgage interest rates are going up or down? They have to come up sooner or later. Allan Greenspan is trying his best to get them to go up.

Refinance leads will then dry up. No-one is refinancing into a higher rate.

There will always be a demand for mortgage leads. But generating those lucrative refinance leads will be a lot tougher when everybody already have a low rate.

Bottom line: Don’t be too dependent on mortgage refinance income.

And make sure you mix up your mortgage traffic with some purchase leads.

They might be harder to sell today, but mortgage companies are likely to have to pay more for them in the future.

2 Comments

Ola:

You ask the right questions (IMO) - again.

Let’s start the conspiracy before someone starts claiming there is one!

http://www.revenews.com/jeffmolander/archives/000643.html

If there are less mortgage leads out there, the demand will rise, along with the price. In the long run, revenues will probably even out.

- Eder

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